2011年2月27日星期日

How to control Gaddafi of Libya?

Shenzhen Satellite TV "Live Macao"(2011-02-24)
A Libyan border guard
Moderator: Now a senior commentator Mr. Chen Bing connection immediately. Chen, Libya's Gaddafi situation is not conducive to the direction of the Sharp, the world is pulled out, Gaddafi's control has shrunk to the capital, why he did not sign a little soft clothing? Chen Bing: Good evening, America Xi. Because he is Gaddafi, easy to service if the software is not "African Lion" was. However, if we look at Obama's speech this morning, you will find in it is gorgeous porcelain bowl full of water, Gaddafi to see that tasteless, so not very Dali, continue to consolidate the fort in the capital. Why the United States to make Gaddafi castle to stay up in it? There are two reasons, first, the Americans have not completely withdrawn from Libya, and second, he can not find the future leaders of Libya, and who do not know the words. Gaddafi is not bandits, he was very clear, saying the United States, you can not make him the bullets fly, so in his "last drop of blood" speech on television, the site selection in the 1986 bombing of the U.S. had a residence in front next to him is a huge sculpture, depicts a fist grip is broken American fighter scenarios. This is for the United States issued a stern warning, if you dare to come hard, I will be more hard, the Americans will now in Libya to pack up. Obama made a statement this morning, in fact, pushed back the time, because withdrawal of American ships, the storm was intercepted, the delay set sail in Libya. Obama's speech full of abstract ideas, no specific measures in the fight for time, so all the Americans to retreat, and he may be implemented so-called "round resort." In addition, the Libyan market like the Middle East, North Africa, before stepping down in power, there are anti-government organizations or opposition leader, the United States to find people to speak, and Libya it is now unable to find opposition leaders, all stragglers. So, let Gaddafi in the castle to stay up, waiting for a new leader is born.
  
Moderator: It is said that Libya's military equipment is poor, but now there are reports of military disobedience, some soldiers to freedom, then what is the Gaddafi regime rely on to maintain his strong fortress it? Chen Bing: a very special case of Libya, Muammar Gaddafi does not depend on the military to maintain political power, unlike many countries, is "the gun in the regime."Libya relied on the militia, the Revolutionary Committee, trusted tribal leaders, spend money on hiring mercenaries to maintain political power, and if the words more clearly, is to rely on spies, secret agents, secret police to maintain political power, a bit like the KMT period of the system, the military system. Well informed of these people, such as an interview with foreign journalists, is the security personnel accompanying, will respondents report that all the words are up, there is something wrong, and immediately suppressed. Still others called "people's militias", spread the grassroots level, in fact, spies, snitch, and they put all kinds of information especially for the Gaddafi regime less information is passed to the "person tent "Gaddafi is around people. Who encountered the pack how to do it? By the mercenaries to do it. Small number of mercenaries, but Gaddafi very loyal, but also hard to start and always put the people's house to burn, or to use weapons to kill demonstrators. They do not execute the command in the army when the act as "SCS." The other is the tribal leaders, many appointed head of Gaddafi, and then let them fight each other, mutual supervision, the result is no one recognized him the husband, no one dare not against him. Can be said that Gaddafi's governance is "political agents" placed a lot of eyes and ears, give rise to panic, terror more serious.Even now in some places has been the opposition control, but there are many Libyans fled abroad with their own worries and there are spies among the demonstrators, in the usual suspects.
  
Moderator: Gaddafi is of military origin, their title is "Colonel", he did not further develop the army, relying on Army? Chen Bing: Gaddafi in 1969, came to power through military coup. He was worried that the military strong, and will learn their own, relying on the military to overthrow their own change. Therefore, the Libyan army for the relatively poor, about 4 million people, has not trained with the BBC as saying that the Libyan army is a "haggard troops" only symbolic, it is food. These days there is reported that senior officials in the army announced it has joined the ranks of opponents, the military flew defection, or military disobedience, this is not a threat to the Qadhafi, because not much fighting. Control of mercenaries and his son the secret police force, there is fighting. Now there is not a mercenary disobedience news.
  
Moderator: Does this mean that Gaddafi in his stronghold to stay longer, more people will be killed? Chen Bing: I guess so. Today, I have seen many videos and photos, Libyan fighter jets and helicopters are indeed in the attack by the rebels, some of the streets is full of bullet casings and artillery shells, a town west of Zawiya, yesterday I was still the hands of opponents, and now Gaddafi, who has been captured. When the opponents gradually approaching the capital, the Gaddafi will definitely be counter-offensive. Starting today, tug of war has begun. This is a civil war. I even worried that Gaddafi to uphold the bastion, it is likely to grab some foreigners as hostages, as the capital for future blackmail. I look forward to the Chinese people in Libya, quickly ran, ran out of this bloody place.
  
Moderator: So what outsiders do something to stop the bloodshed in Libya? Chen Bing: Libya, the countries concerned, has been considering how to restrict Gaddafi. Such as the EU considering sanctions, cut off economic ties with Libya, Gaddafi family's overseas assets frozen, it was suggested that the United Nations to take measures to implement the no-fly zone, the Libyan isolate. But these are still on paper, before the withdrawal is not completely foreign countries is difficult to reach consensus, the international community to take concerted action, almost impossible.Together with Libya's oil is very rich, countries are careful to right, fear not the future and do business with Libya. Now the international oil price has risen close to 120 dollars a barrel did not, we can see the importance of Libyan oil. Was also suggested that military intervention, but I think it is not based, Libya has not invaded other countries. Likely outcome is that the blood of Libya, and now could not stop.







翻译;谷歌翻译
本文转载自新浪博客;http://blog.sina.com.cn/s/blog_543e8b230100piuj.html?tj=1

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